Published inRight Sizing Your Bets.·PinnedIs Forecasting a B.S. Business ? if so then under which conditions !Retaking Nassim Taleb’s thought experiment. Basically we want to show that what matters is the shape of the payoff , here I mean by the payoff is simply your decision operating on some random variables as input data. I.E. X ≠ f(X) where , now let us say f …Investing2 min readInvesting2 min read
Oct 1, 2022Fate Loves Sense of Irony! Part 3Let’s prepare some ground. Starting from where we left in our last resumé of chapter 2 , we will be resuming hence , our continuously intellectual dispute between two proposed demons; one -as the author puts it- represents the multiverse Schrodinger’s type of world which corresponds to the standard theoretical…Investing6 min readInvesting6 min read
Published inRight Sizing Your Bets.·Sep 17, 2022At the mercy of Captain Jack, Will you ever insure yourself against him! Part IIFrom part 1, we continue our journey this time via elucidating further the most important story of this chapter, which is one of the Saint Petersburg paradox or rather trade! why this trade is particularly appealing? what makes it so special? and how one can use it for his or…Investing7 min readInvesting7 min read
Published inRight Sizing Your Bets.·Sep 17, 2022Save Haven; what’s in it for a typical investor or trader! Part IWelcome to the first part of this series of short and crispy yet informative articles , I will be sharing with you my early reflections , surprises and corresponding experiences on one of the books that I have recently borrowed from a local university library here in my little Swiss…Risk Management5 min readRisk Management5 min read
Jul 6, 2022Stock Value Prediction with 75% Accuracy Based on Financial KPIs28013Oleg Kazanskyiare you going to test this any time soon on a platform with live data feeds say like QC to see how…are you going to test this any time soon on a platform with live data feeds say like QC to see how it behaves during a backtesting ? I blieve defining your target is easy , good work1 min read1 min read
Published inRight Sizing Your Bets.·Jul 5, 20224000 + % return during market sell-offs? ! Is it even possible ?!Intro to my new publication ; Here , you can find all about the right way of evaluating risky bets , taking inspirations from my most recent read “ SAFE HAVEN:Investing for Financial Storms” which favors more practical approach while using the most important basic formulae , ideas and propositions while evaluating them using statistical tools…Investing4 min readInvesting4 min read
